Raheem Mostert's 2024 Projections & Outlook
Scoring
#27 Running Back
163.2 Projected Points
ADP |
Rush Atts |
Rush Yds |
Rush TDs |
100 |
Fum |
Rec |
Rec Yds |
Rec TDs |
6.11 |
159.8 |
735.2 |
7.96 |
0 |
1.7 |
21.7 |
156.5 |
1.33 |
DS 3D Projections
Bottom Line
Credit Mostert for a massive 2023. Alongside Puka Nacua, the Dolphin performed as a true fantasy MVP.
Here’s the reality check: Mostert’s TDs are set to come way down. And his overall workload is threatened by second-year RB De’Von Achane, who appeared in less than 11 full games as a rookie.
Treat the veteran as a low-end RB2/FLEX.
What We Learned Last Year
- Mostert’s TD prowess was among the surprise headlines of 2023.
- Across 15 games, the former 49er scored a league-high 18 rushing TDs.
- His previous career-high was 8 in 2019.
- Mostert ranked third in rushes inside the ten yard-line (33). He tied for first in rushes inside the five (19).
- Among 36 RBs with 150+ carries, Mostert ranked second in EPA per rush, fifth in YPC, third in YAC per attempt, and third in explosive run rate.
- A well-designed scheme from HC Mike McDaniel helped Mostert see an average of 6.46 defenders in the box -- near the bottom of the 36-RB sample.
- Mostert averaged 16.3 touches per game alongside breakout rookie De’Von Achane.
- Achane topped Mostert in targets (37 to 32), despite playing in four fewer games.
- Mostert played last year at age 31, but he showed no sign of declined speed.
- He reached 21.62 MPH on a 43-yard TD run, per Next Gen Stats. That was the tenth-fastest time among RBs/WRs.
- He missed only two games with a knee/ankle injury. He sat out only one game in 2022 (knee).
What to Expect in 2024
- Mostert will play this season at age 32.
- It might be a scary age on the surface, but it’s certainly not a deathknell.
- Since 2000, 12 RBs age 32 or older have posted 12+ PPR points per game -- low-end RB2 numbers and up. Only two RBs topped 15 PPG.
- Mostert isn’t your average age-32 RB, as he’s spread 674 career carries across 80 games.
- De’Vone Achane returns for year two.
- He’s added weight this offseason, with the goal of seeing a boosted workload.
- Miami added another RB in Round 4 speed back Jaylen Wright. He projects for a minor role as the RB3.
- The Fins’ O-line will be one to watch.
- G Robert Hunt signed with Carolina in free agency.
- As of this writing, C Connor Williams remains a free agent.