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Adam Thielen Fantasy Overview

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen
Player Profile
WR CAR

Height

6'2"

Weight

195 lbs.

Experience

11 yrs.

Bye

11

Birthday

Aug 22, 1990

Age

34.5

College

Minnesota State-Mankato

NFL Draft Pick

2013 - Rd , Pk

Fantasy Rankings

Weekly
BYE -
Season
WR {{playerPageAppVar.projectionForRestOfSeason && playerPageAppVar.projectionForRestOfSeason.rank[selectedScoringConfig.fantasyPtsKey] ? playerPageAppVar.projectionForRestOfSeason.rank[selectedScoringConfig.fantasyPtsKey].rank : "-"}}
Dynasty
WR173

2025 Projections

Rec

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Rec Yds

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Rec TDs

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Fantasy Pts

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DS 3D Projection

Our Thoughts

Adam Thielen's Preseason Player Analysis

Bottom Line

Thielen had a career year last season, but that production decreased after HC Frank Reich was fired.

The production cliff is coming for Thielen, who is going into the season at 34 years old. With the Panthers’ additions to the WR room, Thielen is unlikely to see any consistent targets this season.

He is an end-of-the-roster flier who will need injuries to be relevant.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Thielen posted a season-long stat line of 103 catches for 1,014 yards ad four TDs on 137 targets.
  • His per-game averages were generally a massive upgrade over the average of the prior four years:
    • 8.06 targets (6.40)
    • 6.06 receptions (4.30)
    • 59.6 yards (50.33)
    • 0.24 TDs (0.66)
  • HC Frank Reich was fired 11 games into the season. Thielen’s per-game production decreased after Reich left the team:
    • 6.17 targets
    • 4.33 receptions
    • 47.67 yards
    • 0 TDs
  • He ranked as the WR18 in PPR fantasy points (229.0) and WR25 in points per game (13.5).
  • He missed no games due to injury for the second consecutive season.
  • He had three top-12 finishes. But he also had six WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Thielen had the 15th-highest target share in the league (26.0%)
  • Among 89 WRs with 45+ targets, Thielen ranked 33rd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and 48th in yards per route run (1.59.
  • Among those same 89 WRs, he was 79th in average targeted air yards (7.6) but 32nd in percentage of team air yards (26.35%).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Thielen will play under HC Dave Canales, who will be calling plays for the Panthers offense.
    • Canales was the OC for the Buccaneers last season.
    • Under Canales, the Buccaneers ranked 19th in the NFL with 568 passes.
  • The Panthers are expected to take a step forward this year after only winning two games last season. They are fourth in the NFC South and 31st in the league with a 5.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Panthers have the worst odds in the NFL to win the Super Bowl at +25000 at most sportsbooks.
  • Thielen enters his 10th season at 34 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Thielen’s career produces 70% of his peak value at age-34.
  • He’ll face much tougher target competition this year after the Panthers added WRs Diontae Johnson and Xavier Legette.

Advanced Stats

Forty Yard Dash

4.54

Forty Yard Dash Rank

53%

Three Cone Drill

6.77

Agility Score

11.26

Agility Score Rank

49%

Burst Score

121.20

Burst Score Rank

49%

Speed Score

96.70

Speed Score Rank

61%

Height Adjusted Speed Score

96.70

Height Adjusted Speed Score Rank

59%

Catch Radius

10.11

Catch Radius Rank

70%

VIEW MORE ADVANCED STATS

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Shark Bites

Adam Thielen WR CAR

1:07pm EDT 9/24/24

Adam Thielen (Hamstring) Heading to Injured Reserve

Adam Thielen (Hamstring) Heading to Injured Reserve

Panthers WR Adam Thielen suffered a hamstring injury during the Panthers' win against the Raiders. The team is placing him on injured reserve, meaning Thielen will miss at least the next four games, eligible to return for Week 8's contest against the Denver Broncos.

Panthers WR Adam Thielen injured a hamstring on his 31-yard TD catch near the end of the first half of Sunday's game vs. the Raiders. He's officially questionable to return. Thielen's absence will mean more playing time for WRs Xavier Legette and Jonathan Mingo, who had been splitting snaps.

Update: Thielen has been ruled out.

Panthers WR D.J. Chark (elbow) missed practice all week and is listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game vs. the Bears. His absence should elevate WR Terrace Marshall into a top-3 role. When Chark missed Week 1, Marshall ran a route on 96% of Carolina's pass plays and drew six targets for a 15.8% share. He turned that action into just two catches for 23 yards, though, and is really only in play in one-game DFS contests. Chark's absence could mean an extra target or two for WRs Adam Thielen and Jonathan Mingo.

Panthers QB Bryce Young (ankle) put in a full week of practice and isn't listed on the final injury report. He'll be back under center for Sunday's game vs. the Vikings. Young has mustered just 4.2 yards per attempt so far this season and is just a low-end QB2 for Week 4, despite the plus matchup. Consider Young a slight downgrade from QB Andy Dalton for Carolina's pass catchers.

Schedule

Week Team SOS Fantasy

1

NO

1.4%

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2

@ LAC

4.4%

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3

LVR

-6%

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4

@ CIN

1.6%

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5

CHI

-17.2%

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6

@ ATL

13.5%

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7

WAS

-3.3%

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8

DEN

-4.8%

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9

@ NO

1.4%

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10

@ NYG

-2.8%

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11

12

@ KC

0.7%

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13

@ TB

11.2%

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14

PHI

-11.6%

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15

@ DAL

7.7%

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16

@ ARI

-7.7%

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17

TB

11.2%

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18

ATL

13.5%

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