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A.J. Brown Fantasy Overview

A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown
Player Profile
WR PHI

Height

6'1"

Weight

226 lbs.

Experience

6 yrs.

Bye

5

Birthday

Jun 30, 1997

Age

27.6

College

Mississippi

NFL Draft Pick

2019 - Rd 2, Pk 51

Fantasy Rankings

Weekly
BYE -
Season
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Dynasty
WR128

2025 Projections

Rec

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Rec Yds

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Rec TDs

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Fantasy Pts

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DS 3D Projection

Our Thoughts

A.J. Brown's Preseason Player Analysis

Bottom Line

Brown ranks third in receiving yards over the past two seasons. At 27, he remains a dynamic fantasy asset with week-winning ability.

While he’ll learn a new offense under OC Kellen Moore, Brown’s volume should ultimately remain north of 130. That type of volume supplies a clear-cut WR1 outlook.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Brown appeared in all 17 games for the second straight season.
    • He went down in Week 18 with a knee injury that cost him the Wild Card round.
  • Overall, the former Titan posted career highs in targets (158) and catches (106).
    • He finished fifth among WRs in yards (1,456) but was just OK as a TD scorer (7).
  • Jalen Hurts’ rushing prowess played a role in the TD output.
    • Twenty-two pass catchers saw more red zone targets than Brown.
    • The Eagles ranked last in pass rate inside the 10 and inside the 20.
    • However, Brown ranked 10th in red zone target share; 4th in goal-to-go target share.
  • All told, Brown finished as a fantasy WR1 in eight weeks.
    • He finished outside the top-36 WRs only three times (removing Week 18).
  • Brown's underlying profile showed no cause for concern.
    • His catch rate, contested catch rate, targets per route run, and yards per route run all fell in line with career averages.
    • Only one WR beat Brown’s 31.1% target share (Davante Adams).

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Eagles return QB Jalen Hurts, WR2 DeVonta Smith, and TE Dallas Goedert.
  • Hurts’ passing performance dipped last year, but we’re optimistic he can rebound with better health. (He played a chunk of the year with a knee issue.)
  • OC Brian Johnson was replaced by Kellen Moore, who called plays for the Chargers in 2023.
    • He’s expected to bring more formation diversity and pre-snap motion to a team that rarely used it in ‘23.
    • Here’s a comment from Smith at OTAs: “I would say it just gives you more space at times…When you’re getting bunches and things like that, guys don’t press as much. And it kind of confuses the defense, so it gives you more space and opportunity to do things.”
    • The 2023 Chargers ranked 8th in neutral pass rate. Philly sat 26th.
    • The Chargers ranked 6th in first-down pass rate, while the Eagles slotted 13th.
  • The Eagles enter the summer with an uninspiring group of potential WR3s.
  • GM Howie Roseman invested serious money in RB Saquon Barkley. It’s a clear signal that the team will remain committed to the run.

Advanced Stats

Forty Yard Dash

4.49

Forty Yard Dash Rank

72%

Three Cone Drill

7.00

Agility Score

11.25

Agility Score Rank

51%

Burst Score

122.10

Burst Score Rank

54%

Spar Qx

119.50

Spar Qx Rank

89%

Speed Score

109.70

Speed Score Rank

91%

Height Adjusted Speed Score

109.70

Height Adjusted Speed Score Rank

90%

Catch Radius

10.08

Catch Radius Rank

65%

VIEW MORE ADVANCED STATS

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Shark Bites

Dallas Goedert TE PHI

1:04pm EST 12/7/24

Dallas Goedert To IR

Dallas Goedert To IR

The Eagles are placing TE Dallas Goedert on IR with his knee injury, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That knocks Goedert out through Week 17, so he can be dropped from all redraft rosters. "The plan is for him to be back at full speed heading into the playoffs," Rapoport adds.

Eagles WR A.J. Brown is considered "day to day" after additional testing on his injured knee, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. We'll look for more details on Brown's injury, but it sounds like he has a chance to play vs. the Cowboys on Sunday.

Eagles WR A.J. Brown avoided a serious knee injury in the Week 9 win over the Jaguars "and is expected to be fine," according to insider Jordan Schultz. Brown is scheduled for an MRI on Monday to get a better look at the injury. It's still possible that he misses time, but it at least sounds like he dodged a long-term absence. We'll keep you updated on Brown's status.

The Eagles have downgraded WR A.J. Brown (hamstring) to out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers. Despite a limited practice Friday, Brown looked like he was trending toward missing his third straight contest. We had already removed him from the WR rankings. That leaves Philly down its top two wideouts, with DeVonta Smith out for a concussion. TE Dallas Goedert sports plenty of target upside, while QB Jalen Hurts might need to lean more on his rushing for fantasy value this week.

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith left in the fourth quarter of the game at New Orleans with a concussion. That obviously means he'll miss the rest of the game and will then need to pass through the league protocol before returning.

Schedule

Week Team SOS Fantasy

1

@ GB

-10.4%

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2

@ ATL

13.5%

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3

NO

1.4%

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4

TB

11.2%

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5

6

@ CLE

10.8%

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7

NYG

-2.8%

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8

CIN

1.6%

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9

@ JAC

13.7%

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10

DAL

7.7%

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11

@ WAS

-3.3%

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12

LAR

4.6%

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13

BAL

8.3%

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14

@ CAR

0.9%

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15

@ PIT

-6.6%

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16

WAS

-3.3%

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17

@ DAL

7.7%

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18

@ NYG

-2.8%

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