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Nothing derails a championship faster than an injury to one or two of your key players. Everyone knows this much:

Certain positions and even certain players get injured at a higher rate. We see players reaggravating hammy and ankle injuries all the time. And if a player has had four concussions, he's far more likely to get another.

So no doubt there's some likelihood of injury trends among players. But how and why can we use that to try and predict the future? First, take the most comprehensive injury database detailing injuries for every major NFL player over the last 30 years. Then apply advanced machine learning to define and track these trends.

You get a model that uses over 1,000 variables to predict injury outcomes. Meaning, you've cracked the scientific code for predicting injuries. It is impossible to predict every injury. But we can predict which players have a higher injury probability AND the length of time they're likely to miss. We know because we've actually done it.

IDP Injury Guide

Player Historic Stats Injury Probabilities Projected Points
Player Career Injuries Injury Risk Probability of Injury In the Season Projected Games Missed Probability of Injury Per Game Durability Durability PPR Points
Leonard Williams DE SEA 4 | | | | + Show History � Low Risk 24.4% 0.80 1.6% 5.00 72.4
Low Risk
X
Seattle Seahawks
Leonard Williams DE SEA
Seasons: 10
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 302
Bye: 10

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 22, 2024 NFL Chest Rib Bruise Williams was ruled out of Week 3 with a rib injury
Dec 4, 2022 NFL Cervical Neck Strain Williams was injured against Washington in Week 13. He missed 1 game.
Sep 18, 2022 NFL Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2 Williams had started 114 straight games prior to the MCL sprain.
Aug 29, 2015 NFL Knee ACL Sprain Grade 2
Devon Witherspoon DB SEA 2 | | + Show History � Low Risk 29.4% 0.75 2% 5.00 98.1
Low Risk
X
Seattle Seahawks
Devon Witherspoon DB SEA
Seasons: 2
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 181
Bye: 10

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Dec 10, 2023 NFL Inguinal Hip Bruise Witherspoon sustained a hip pointer in Week 14 vs. the 49ers. He missed two games.
Aug 7, 2023 NFL Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Witherspoon sustained a hamstring injury in early August. He missed Week 1 vs. the Rams.
Daron Payne DT WAS 4 | | | | + Show History � Very Low Risk 13.2% 0.57 0.8% 5.00 45.7
Very Low Risk
X
Washington Commanders
Daron Payne DT WAS
Seasons: 7
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 311
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Jan 22, 2025 NFL Knee Strain Grade 1 Payne was sidelined for the NFC Championship due to serious knee and finger injuries.
Jan 12, 2025 NFL Hand Finger Dislocation Payne suffered a finger injury during the NFC wild-card game against the Buccaneers. He played through the injury in the next game
Nov 17, 2019 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Payne was forced out of the Week 11 game against the Jets with an ankle injury. He missed the next game
Jul 27, 2018 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain Grade 2 Payne missed 2 weeks of training camp with an ankle injury.
Uchenna Nwosu DE SEA 3 | | | + Show History � Very Low Risk 17.9% 1.25 1.2% 5.00 54.1
Very Low Risk
X
Seattle Seahawks
Uchenna Nwosu DE SEA
Seasons: 7
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 251
Bye: 10

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 6, 2024 NFL Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Nwosu suffered a thigh injury in the Week 5 game versus the New York Giants
Aug 25, 2024 NFL Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2
Oct 22, 2023 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Nwosu underwent season-ending surgery in October.
Kyle Van Noy LB BAL 4 | | | | + Show History � Very Low Risk 22% 0.40 1.5% 5.00 61.4
Very Low Risk
X
Baltimore Ravens
Kyle Van Noy LB BAL
Seasons: 11
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 243
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 5, 2024 NFL Head Orbital Fracture Van Noy suffered a broken orbital bone on opening night and will miss a few weeks
Sep 17, 2021 NFL Cervical Neck Van Noy missed Week 2's matchup with the Jets due to a throat injury.
Dec 11, 2020 NFL Inguinal Hip Strain Van Noy missed the game against Kansas City due to a hip injury.
Oct 14, 2020 NFL Inguinal Groin Pull Grade 1 Van Noy missed the game against the Jets due to a groin injury.
A.J. Terrell CB ATL 3 | | | + Show History � Low Risk 30.3% 1.48 2.1% 5.00 66.7
Low Risk
X
Atlanta Falcons
A.J. Terrell CB ATL
Seasons: 5
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 195
Bye: 12

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 23, 2022 NFL Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2 Terrell went down early in Week 7.
Oct 24, 2021 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Terrell suffered a head injury in Week 7’s matchup against the Miami Dolphins. He was good for the next game
Sep 19, 2021 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Terrell was diagnosed with a concussion after sustaining a head injury in the third quarter of Week 2.
Josh Hines-Allen DE JAC 2 | | + Show History � Very Low Risk 13.2% 0.80 0.8% 5.00 71.0
Very Low Risk
X
Jacksonville Jaguars
Josh Hines-Allen DE JAC
Seasons: 6
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 262
Bye: 12

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Nov 22, 2020 NFL Knee Patella Sprain Allen suffered a knee injury during Week 11’s game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers. He was placed on IR and missed 6 games ending his season
Oct 7, 2020 NFL Knee Patella Sprain Allen missed a Jaguars' practice ahead of Week 5 game at Houston due to a knee injury. He missed two games
Jaycee Horn CB CAR 4 | | | | + Show History � Medium Risk 41.5% 1.08 3.1% 0.80 72.1
Medium Risk
X
Carolina Panthers
Jaycee Horn CB CAR
Seasons: 4
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 205
Bye: 11

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 10, 2023 NFL Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2 Horn sustained a hamstring injury in Week 1 vs. the Falcons. He was placed on IR. Horn returned to play in Week 13 after missing 10 games.
Jun 3, 2023 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain Grade 2 Horn suffered the injury while working out on his own. He sat out OTAs/minicamp.
Oct 9, 2022 NFL Chest Rib Sprain/Pull Unspecified Horn went down late in Week 5.
Sep 23, 2021 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Horn suffered three fractures in his right foot during Week 3's win over the Texans. He has been placed on IR.
Jonathan Allen DT WAS 7 | | | | | | | + Show History � Very Low Risk 17.6% 0.46 1.1% 5.00 72.9
Very Low Risk
X
Washington Commanders
Jonathan Allen DT WAS
Seasons: 8
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 286
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 13, 2024 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Allen tore his left pectoral in Week 6's loss to the Ravens
Jan 3, 2024 NFL Knee Strain Grade 1 Allen missed Week 18 against the Cowboys due to a knee injury.
Jan 1, 2023 NFL Knee Strain Grade 1 Allen suffered a knee during Week 17's game against the Browns. He missed the season's finale.
Sep 8, 2019 NFL Knee MCL Pull Grade 1 Allen suffered a sprained left knee during the Week 1 game against Philadelphia. He missed one game
Oct 15, 2017 NFL Pedal Lisfranc Fracture Allen missed the final 11 games of the 2017 season with a Lisfranc injury in his left foot. He had surgery to place a screw in the foot.
Sep 24, 2016 Non-NFL Shoulder Labrum Tear Allen tore the labrum in his right shoulder and had surgery. The shoulder is now mildly arthritic.
Oct 10, 2015 Non-NFL Shoulder Labrum Tear Allen tore the labrum in his left shoulder and needed surgery. The shoulder is now mildly arthritic.
Troy Andersen LB ATL 2 | | + Show History � Low Risk 30.1% 1.46 2.1% 1.20 86.2
Low Risk
X
Atlanta Falcons
Troy Andersen LB ATL
Seasons: 4
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 235
Bye: 12

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 24, 2023 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Andersen was placed on season-ending IR.
Sep 10, 2023 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Here's HC Arthur Smith: "He [Anderson] came in [Tuesday] and didn't feel right, so we put him in the protocol...any time somebody comes in a day after, two days after or anytime -- we take that seriously."
Marlon Humphrey CB BAL 9 | | | | | | | | | + Show History � Medium Risk 50.8% 2.48 4.1% 5.00 90.3
Medium Risk
X
Baltimore Ravens
Marlon Humphrey CB BAL
Seasons: 8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 197
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 6, 2024 NFL Leg Calf Strain Humphrey injured his leg during the Week 5 win over the Bengals
Dec 31, 2023 NFL Leg Calf Strain Humphrey sustained a strained calf in Week 17 vs. the Dolphins.
Nov 12, 2023 NFL Leg Calf Strain Humphrey suffered the non-contact injury to his right calf against Cleveland. He missed two games.
Aug 15, 2023 NFL Pedal Foot Humphrey underwent surgery on August 16. He missed the first four games of the season.
Dec 5, 2021 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Humphrey sustained a season-ending torn pectoral muscle in Week 13's loss to Pittsburgh.
Aug 17, 2021 NFL Inguinal Groin Strain Grade 2 Humphrey suffered a groin strain in Ravens' practice during the preseason practice.
Jan 8, 2021 NFL Shoulder Humphrey was questionable for the wild-card game against the Titans due to a shoulder injury.
Sep 11, 2019 NFL Back Lower Lumbar Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Humphrey missed Ravens' practice due to a back injury. He didn't miss any game
Oct 18, 2018 NFL Leg Thigh Bruise Humphrey missed 2 games with a thigh injury suffered in practice.
Derwin James S LAC 7 | | | | | | | + Show History � High Risk 65.8% 1.94 6.1% 2.30 113.4
High Risk
X
Los Angeles Chargers
Derwin James S LAC
Seasons: 8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 215
Bye: 5

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 24, 2023 NFL Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 James sustained a hamstring late in the fourth quarter of Week 3 vs. the Vikings. He returned to play in Week 6 after missing one game.
Dec 26, 2022 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 James was concussed on a helmet to helmet to hit. He was also ejected from Week 16.
Nov 27, 2022 NFL Leg Quad Strain James first suffered the injury in Week 12. He played through it in Week 13 before missing weeks 14/15.
Nov 27, 2022 NFL Shoulder James missed two games in 2021, both because of a hamstring injury, but he was also apparently suffering from a shoulder issue and had labrum surgery once the season ended.
Aug 30, 2020 NFL Knee Meniscus Tear James suffered a meniscus injury in his right knee during the Chargers' practice in the training camp. He underwent successful surgery and ending his 2020 season on IR
Aug 15, 2019 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture James suffered a stress fracture in the fifth metatarsal of his right foot ahead of the preseason game against the Saints. He underwent surgery to address a stress fracture of the fifth metatarsal in his foot
Sep 10, 2016 Non-NFL Knee Meniscus Tear James suffered a left lateral meniscus tear in a game on September 10, 2016. He underwent surgery and missed the final 11 games of the season.
Brandon Jones S DEN 2 | | + Show History � Low Risk 35.8% 1.04 2.6% 4.20 118.3
Low Risk
X
Denver Broncos
Brandon Jones S DEN
Seasons: 5
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 198
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 29, 2023 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Jones took a hard hit from WR JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Oct 23, 2022 NFL Knee ACL Tear Grade 3 Jones went down against Pittsburgh in Week 7. He returned for Week 1, 2023.
Kyle Hamilton S BAL 3 | | | + Show History � High Risk 75.3% 1.91 7.9% 5.00 118.6
High Risk
X
Baltimore Ravens
Kyle Hamilton S BAL
Seasons: 4
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 221
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Dec 10, 2023 NFL Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2 Hamilton sustained an MCL sprain in his left knee vs. the Rams in Week 14.
Jan 8, 2023 NFL Hand Wrist Sprain/Pull Unspecified Injury date is unknown, but Hamilton underwent surgery in February.
Nov 20, 2022 NFL Knee Strain Grade 1 Hamilton departed in Week 11 against Carolina.
Josey Jewell LB CAR 4 | | | | + Show History � Low Risk 40.7% 1.77 3% 5.00 118.9
Low Risk
X
Carolina Panthers
Josey Jewell LB CAR
Seasons: 7
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 234
Bye: 11

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 24, 2023 NFL Inguinal Groin Pull Grade 1 Jewell left early in Week 3 vs. the Dolphins with a groin injury. He returned after missing one game.
Oct 6, 2022 NFL Knee Patella Sprain Jewell avoided IR.
Sep 8, 2022 NFL Leg Calf Strain Jewell was hurt in practice prior to Week 1.
Sep 19, 2021 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Jewell missed 15 games.
Roquan Smith LB BAL 4 | | | | + Show History � Very Low Risk 20.1% 0.37 1.3% 5.00 144.7
Very Low Risk
X
Baltimore Ravens
Roquan Smith LB BAL
Seasons: 7
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 236
Bye: 14

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 5, 2024 NFL Shoulder
Dec 5, 2019 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Smith suffered a torn pectoral muscle during the win over the Cowboys. He had surgery and was placed on injured reserve, costing him the last three games of the season.
Aug 21, 2018 NFL Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Smith missed about a week of training camp with a left hamstring injury.
May 1, 2017 Non-NFL Shoulder Smith dealt with a pectoral injury during the spring of 2017 but was ready for the start of the season.
How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

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