Fantasy Football Start Sit Week 11: Target The Texans
The fantasy playoffs are fast approaching, and lineup decisions are getting tougher. Injuries, bye weeks, and shifting roles make Week 11 a critical time. Let’s break down the matchups that could make or break your week.
The right lineup decisions, powered by Draft Sharks rankings, can make all the difference.
Week 11 byes:
- Indianapolis Colts
- New Orleans Saints
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Quarterbacks
Jacoby Brissett keeps churning out points
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Jacoby Brissett, Arizona Cardinals
Since taking over as Arizona’s starter in Week 6, Jacoby Brissett has sparked the Cardinals’ offense. In Weeks 1–5, with Kyler Murray under center, Arizona averaged 288.4 total yards per game. In Brissett’s four starts, that number has jumped to 351.3 — an 18% increase in production.
Murray never threw for more than 220 yards in a game, while Brissett has topped 258 yards with two touchdowns in all four starts.
WR Marvin Harrison Jr. will miss this week’s game, but his absence shouldn’t derail Brissett. Harrison owns a modest 19.5% target share and accounts for just 16.6% of Arizona’s receptions.
Michael Wilson has already benefited from Brissett’s efficiency, and TE Trey McBride continues to shine, leading all tight ends in route rate (92%) and target share (29%). RB Emari Demercado also drew a season-high four targets last week and should help offset Harrison’s absence.
The matchup is favorable. San Francisco has allowed the ninth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to quarterbacks, giving up multiple passing TDs in five of its last six games and ranking 14th in rushing yards allowed to the position.
Brissett has finished as a top-13 fantasy QB in each of his four starts — three of those against tougher pass defenses than the 49ers. Expect another strong outing from an overlooked streaming option.
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Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
After a hot start, Mayfield has cooled off. He averaged 285 total yards and 10 TDs over the first five weeks but has fallen to 230.8 yards and six scores in the last four. His rushing has also disappeared: He hasn’t recorded a carry in three straight games.
From Weeks 6-8, Mayfield averaged just 212 passing yards and 1 TD. Though he bounced back at home in Week 10, his road struggles have been persistent. In five away games, he hss averaged only 228.2 passing yards and 1.6 TDs.
Those issues are likely to persist in Buffalo. The Bills allow the fourth-fewest fantasy points to QBs and have been especially tough at home, giving up just 200.8 passing yards and one passing TD per game.
Tampa Bay carries an implied total of just 21 points, indicating a modest offensive day and a low ceiling for Mayfield.
Running Backs
Woody Marks is one of two rookie RBs poised to deliver in Week 11
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Woody Marks, Houston Texans
Week 10 marked a turning point for Marks. After playing just 43% of Houston’s snaps and handling 36% of the team’s carries from Weeks 1-9, Marks dominated the backfield in Sunday’s comeback win over Jacksonville. He logged 78% of the snaps and 70% of the carries.
Marks rushed 14 times for 63 yards and scored his second touchdown of the season. Meanwhile, Nick Chubb hit season lows in snap share (14%) and carries (5).
Marks may have benefited from Houston’s pass-heavy game script, but Marks was in on 10 of the Texans' first 15 snaps and played all seven snaps inside Jacksonville’s 10-yard line. Those are indicative of a starting RB role.
He also draws a great Week 11 matchup against a Titans defense that has allowed the fifth-most PPR points and a league-high 12 rushing TDs to RBs. Houston arrives as a heavy favorite and will miss C.J. Stroud (concussion) again, both factors that could push rushing volume. Marks is a strong RB2 with top-10 upside.
R.J. Harvey, Denver Broncos
J.K. Dobbins’ foot injury could sideline him through Denver’s Week 12 bye, which makes R.J. Harvey the likely starter. HC Sean Payton said Harvey “will have more opportunities” and praised his durability.
Despite a modest 29% snap rate and 19% carry share, Harvey ranks 24th among RBs in fantasy scoring (10.0 PPR points per game). Harvey has been very efficient with his limited touches. He leads all RBs in PPR points per touch, particularly as a receiver. The Chiefs have allowed 303 receiving yards to RBs this season, 14th-most.
Kansas City is a tough matchup, allowing the seventh-fewest points to RBs. But Harvey’s expected workload jump puts him in play as a solid RB2 or flex option with top-15 potential if his efficiency continues.
Sit
Breece Hall, New York Jets
New York’s passing woes have crippled Hall’s production. The Jets rank last in passing yards per game (143.8), allowing defenses to stack the box. Hall has faced eight or more defenders on 24.6% of his carries,15th-most.
The matchup doesn’t help. The Jets visit New England, which allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points to RBs. Mike Vrabel’s defense has clamped down on the run, allowing just 3.3 yards per carry. Sean Tucker’s 59-yard outing last week was the first 50-yard game against the Patriots by a back all season. New England has allowed only two rushing TDs to RBs.
Hall managed just 9.9 PPR points in Foxborough last year on 17 touches, and the Jets are projected to score only 16 points this week. Hall should see volume with Garrett Wilson sidelined, but his ceiling is limited against a disciplined Patriots front.
Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
Just after Kenneth Walker logged a season-high in playing time in Week 9, Seattle returned to a committee approach in Week 10. Zach Charbonnet split work evenly, and RB3 George Holani even mixed in for 11 snaps and a first-quarter touchdown.
Walker played four more snaps than Charbonnet, but both finished with 14 carries. Walker was the only back targeted in the passing game, while Charbonnet proved more efficient on the ground and punched in a 6-yard score.
For the season, Charbonnet holds a 51% to 43% edge in snaps. Walker leads slightly in carries (47% to 42%), but Charbonnet has seen more work near the goal line, holding a 9–5 advantage in carries inside the 5-yard line.
Hopes that Walker would build on his Week 9 momentum faded quickly. Seattle’s two defensive touchdowns against Arizona disrupted the offensive flow, but the bigger concern is the ongoing timeshare. As long as the Seahawks continue to split touches, both backs remain stuck in RB3 territory.
This week’s matchup doesn’t help. The Rams allow the fewest fantasy points to running backs and have surrendered just two total touchdowns to the position all season.
Between the workload split and a brutal matchup, Walker is an easy fade in Week 11.
Wide Receivers
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A potential AFC West slugfest could limit opportunities for a pair of starting WRs
Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers
.Jennings has scored in back-to-back games while operating as San Francisco’s top wideout. His fantasy production has climbed steadily over the past month. That is a sign he’s finally healthy after rib and ankle injuries sidelined him for two games.
He’s posted consecutive outings with 14-plus PPR points and has caught at least four passes in four straight. While Ricky Pearsall is nearing a return, Jennings has been the 49ers’ target leader over the past month. Since Week 7, he leads the team with a 25% target share.
That usage cements Jennings as San Francisco’s No. 1 receiver. Even if Pearsall returns this week, he’s likely to be eased back into action, leaving Jennings as the focal point of the passing game.
It’s also a favorable matchup. The Cardinals have allowed a WR to top 12.4 PPR points in every game this season, and opposing No. 1 wideouts are averaging 14.7 per game. Jennings missed the first meeting with Arizona, but Pearsall caught 8 of 11 targets for 117 yards in that contest — showing the ceiling available in this matchup.
The 49ers enter Week 11 with the sixth-highest implied total (25.75), positioning Jennings to lead the team in targets and produce reliable WR2/3 numbers.
Tre Tucker, Las Vegas Raiders
No defense has allowed more fantasy points to wide receivers than Dallas. The Cowboys have surrendered 10 TDs and 18.2 PPR points per game to opposing WR1s.
With Jakobi Meyers traded to Jacksonville, Tre Tucker takes over as the Raiders’ de facto No. 1 WR. He’s not a traditional perimeter receiver, but he’s been productive. For the season, he leads Las Vegas with a 95% route rate and 18% target share, but last week’s usage, without Meyers, was even better.
Tucker posted a 100% route rate and led the team with a 25% target share. Similar usage against a Dallas defense that surrenders 40.5 PPR points per game to opposing WRs would make Tucker a breakout candidate.
This game carries the highest implied total (50.5) of Week 11. Dallas gives up the second-most points per game (30.8), setting Tucker up as a strong WR3 with top-20 potential.
Sit
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
Bo Nix has feasted on weak defenses, averaging 265 passing yards and 14 total TDs in four games against teams that rank inside the bottom-10 in passing yards allowed. Against average or better opponents, those numbers plummet to 178 yards and six TDs in five contests.
That split spells trouble against Kansas City’s seventh-ranked pass defense, which allows just 187.2 passing yards per game.
Denver’s implied total of 20.5 points, sixth-lowest this week, hints at another low-scoring, defensive game. Sutton is a mid-to-low WR3 with limited ceiling.
Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs
After missing time early in the season, Worthy emerged as Kansas City’s top wideout from Weeks 4-6, posting a 76% route rate, 21% target share, and 12.9 PPR points per game.
Since Rashee Rice’s return, Worthy’s production has nosedived. From Weeks 7-9, his target share dropped to 19%, and his scoring fell to 8.0 PPR points per game. He has scored just 1 touchdown all season and has failed to reach 50 yards in four of his last five.
Denver’s defense remains a nightmare for wideouts, allowing the fewest fantasy points and only 2 receiving TDs to the position.
Even without Pat Surtain the past two weeks, the Broncos have limited WRs to just 9.2 yards per catch.
Worthy heads into this week with a shaky floor and a low ceiling.
Tight Ends
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Schultz remains hot for the Texans
Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans
Schultz has quietly climbed into TE1 territory. He enters Week 11 ranked 11th at the position in PPR scoring and tied for fifth in targets (32) over his past five games. He has topped 11 PPR points in four of those five.
Schultz thrived with Davis Mills under center in Week 10, setting season highs in route rate (82%) and target share (26%) while posting 18.3 PPR points. C.J. Stroud remains in concussion protocol, which makes it likely that Mills will be under center again this week.
The matchup is favorable again. Tennessee has allowed 14.6 PPR points per game to tight ends over its last four. Schultz has averaged eight targets across his past four contests, remaining heavily involved regardless of QB.
He’s a clear TE1 option for Week 11.
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Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens
Andrews has been better with Lamar Jackson back, averaging 13.5 PPR points and scoring 3 TDs in the past two weeks. But his volume remains concerning. Andrews ranks just 23rd among tight ends in targets (38) and 24th in yards (244). He has topped 35 yards only once all season.
Cleveland presents another tough matchup. The Browns rank seventh-toughest on TEs by our adjusted fantasy points allowed. Only one TE has reached 40 yards against them all season, and they’ve given up just 1 TD to the position since Week 6.
Scoring figures to be limited in this AFC North battle that carries the second-lowest total (40.5) of the week. That’s particularly bad news for a TD-reliant TE.
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