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Week 10 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

Top Plays for DraftKings Head-to-Head and 50/50 Contests

Here are the guys I’m considering for DraftKings Week 10 head-to-heads and 50/50s:

Quarterback

Justin Herbert, Chargers ($5,200)

It took a month, but the Chargers’ new coaching staff has finally realized that they have one of the most talented QBs in the league on their team.

Over their first four games, the Chargers registered a:

• -10% pass rate over expected
• 49.1% neutral pass rate
• 47.0% pass rate

Those numbers have jumped across the board over the last four games:

• +3% pass rate over expected
• 60.8% neutral pass rate
• 56.8% pass rate

For Herbert, that’s meant a spike in pass attempts per game from 22.8 to 33.0 – and a spike in DraftKings points per game from 10.9 to 18.8.

His DK price has not caught up to Los Angeles’ new pass-leaning offense. Despite a semi-difficult matchup against the Titans’ 15th-ranked QB defense, Herbert checks in as the top dollars-per-point QB value on the slate.

Also consider:

• Mac Jones, Jaguars ($4,400)

Running Backs

Alvin Kamara, Saints ($8,100)

Kamara is getting insane passing-game usage. He’s seen 7+ targets in six straight games, totaling 52 targets over that span. That leads all RBs by 21 and is tied for fourth most league-wide, behind only WRs Garrett Wilson, CeeDee Lamb, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

That target volume gives him an extremely valuable floor for cash games – and it’s not going away with WRs Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed out this week.

Kamara, of course, is also the Saints’ lead ball carrier. He gets a Falcons team on Sunday that ranks 21st in run defense DVOA.

Bijan Robinson, Falcons ($7,700)

Robinson is on a heater. He’s topped 21 DraftKings points in four straight games, averaging 24.2 per contest.

He’s getting awesome usage – 17.0 carries and 5.8 targets per game – and ranks fifth among RBs in expected PPR points per game over the last four weeks.

Robinson should stay hot in a pristine spot this weekend. His Falcons are 3.5-point favorites with a 25-point implied total against the Saints, who rank 31st in run defense DVOA and 28th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

Aaron Jones, Vikings ($6,700)

Jones continues to dominate work in Minnesota's backfield, averaging 18.0 carries and 3.0 targets per game over his last three. He ranks 15th among RBs in expected PPR points per game over that span.

Jones gets a Jaguars defense on Sunday that’s played decently against the run this season. They rank 12th in run defense DVOA and have limited RBs to 4.1 yards per carry.

But Jacksonville sits 31st in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs because their pass defense is so bad and they’re usually playing from behind. The Jags have faced the 11th most RB rush attempts per game and have allowed the second most RB TDs.

Jones is a good bet for attempts and TDs this weekend with his Vikings 9-point favorites with a 25.25-point implied total.

Also consider:

• Saquon Barkley, Eagles ($8,300)
• D’Andre Swift, Bears ($6,500)

Wide Receivers

Josh Downs, Colts ($6,200)

Downs has seen 12, 9, and 9 targets in QB Joe Flacco’s three starts. His 16.5 expected PPR points per game in those outings ranks ninth among WRs. Downs has averaged 15.8 DK points per game with Flacco.

He gets a Bills defense on Sunday that ranks fifth in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs. But Buffalo is actually a slightly positive matchup for slot receivers, sitting 24th in adjusted points allowed.

85% of Downs’ routes have come from the slot this season.

DeAndre Hopkins, Chiefs ($5,300)

This is a scary matchup against CB Pat Surtain and the Broncos’ fourth-ranked WR defense. 

But Hopkins is simply too cheap for what we saw in Monday night’s win over the Bucs. Hopkins scored 28.6 DraftKings points in that one, drawing nine targets on a 20.5% share.

He still only ran a route on 69% of pass plays in that game. There’s room for that to grow this weekend.

And Hopkins ran 46% of his routes from the slot last week. That should keep him away from Surtain for at least some of Sunday’s game.

Parker Washington, Jaguars ($3,900)

We’re splurging at RB, so we need to save salary somewhere. Washington is our guy.

In the first game of the season without WR Christian Kirk, Washington registered a 94% route rate and 19.4% target share.

He surprisingly ran just 31% of his routes from the slot, but I’d expect that mark to climb if the Jaguars get outside WR Gabe Davis back this week.

That’s key against a Vikings defense that ranks 30th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to slot receivers.

Also consider:

• Justin Jefferson, Vikings ($8,800)
• Deebo Samuel, 49ers ($6,900)

Tight End

Hunter Henry, Patriots ($3,900)

Henry has been great with QB Drake Maye this season.

In Maye’s three full games, Henry has averaged:

• 7.3 targets
• 6.0 catches
• 63 yards
• 0.3 TDs

Henry’s 13.7 expected PPR points per game across those three weeks would rank third among TEs on the season. He’s averaged 14.3 DraftKings points, with at least 12.6 in all three.

Sunday brings a plus matchup against a Bears defense that ranks first in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs but 29th against TEs.

Also consider:

• Taysom Hill, Saints ($4,000)

Defense/Special Teams

Bears ($3,000)

QB Drake Maye has sparked the Patriots’ offense. He’s also taken 10 sacks and turned it over six times in his three full games.

The Bears roll into this one averaging 9.5 DraftKings points per game – fourth most among main-slate DSTs.

Also consider:

• Patriots ($2,500)

Jared Smola, Lead Analyst

Jared has been with Draft Sharks since 2007. He’s now Lead Analyst, heading up the preseason and weekly projections that fuel your Draft War Room and My Team tools. He currently ranks 1st among 133 analysts in draft rankings accuracy.