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Roschon Johnson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Basic Stats

Roschon Johnson
ADP: 18.6
Bye: 7
Experience: 2
Age: 23.6
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.58

Burst Score (Rank): 114.60 (30%)

Roschon Johnson's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.2 0 1 7.3 0 1.8

Roschon Johnson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#77 Running Back

45 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
18.6 23 101.2 0.61 0 0 16.2 114.7 0.59

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Johnson could beat out Khalil Herbert for the No. 2 role. But the upside is limited without a D’Andre Swift injury. Johnson looks more interesting for dynasty formats than redraft at the moment.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Bears liked Johnson’s ability in the passing game right away. He drew 7 targets to tie for the team lead in Week 1, catching a team-high six passes for 35 yards.
  • Johnson would finish the season tops among Chicago RBs in targets, catches, and receiving yards. He also ranked fourth on the team in targets and yards; third in receptions.
  • Johnson trailed Khalil Herbert, however, in yards per catch (6.7 to 6.1) and receiving success rate (41.9% to 27.5%, according to Pro Football Reference).
  • He also checked in just fourth on the team – and third among RBs – in carries, despite playing more games than both Herbert and D’Onta Foreman.
    • Johnson drew 5.4 carries per game vs. 11.0 for Herbert and 12.1 for Foreman.
    • He also trailed Herbert and Foreman in yards after contact per attempt, according to Pro Football Focus – as well as elusive rating and rushing grade.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Johnson’s still relatively new to the position. He shifted from QB to RB midway through his freshman season at Texas. And then he had to work behind Bijan Robinson.
  • He’s likely still developing, which complicates his competition with Khalil Herbert.
  • Of course, the Bears capped the upside for both RBs by paying up for D’Andre Swift in free agency. Chicago paid him clear lead-back money. And Swift’s strength conflicts with Johnson’s.
    • Since he entered the league in 2020, Swift ranks fourth among RBs in receptions. Only Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara, and Christian McCaffrey have caught more passes at the position in that span.
  • Johnson leads the 2024 RB group in size, which could help him garner goal-line opportunities. He led Herbert in that category last year. D’Onta Foreman is gone, and D’Andre Swift has never been a goal-line winner thus far in his NFL career.

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Roschon Johnson, RB CHI

11:43am EDT 9/8/24

Roschon Johnson A Healthy Scratch

Bears RB Roschon Johnson is a healthy scratch for today's opener vs. the Titans. That leaves RBs D'Andre Swift, Khalil Herbert, and Travis Homer dressed for Chicago. We'll see what the workload split looks like under new OC Shane Waldron, but Swift is the only viable Week 1 fantasy play. We'd expect Johnson to work into the backfield mix if Swift or Herbert miss time this season, but he's droppable in shallow fantasy leagues.

View all Roschon Johnson Shark Bites »

The Bears have agreed to a three-year deal with RB D'Andre Swift, according to multiple reports. Chicago will pay Swift $24 million over that span, with $15.3 million of that guaranteed. That should position Swift as the backfield leader for at least the next two seasons -- assuming he stays healthy, of course. Swift opened his lone Philly season barely playing behind Kenneth Gainwell but then exploded when Gainwell missed Week 2. Swift worked as the lead back the rest of the way, averaging a career-high 41.3 carries per game but a career-low 2.4 receptions per contest. He should immediately step ahead of Bears incumbents Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson as both a runner and receiver. If the QB shift to Caleb Williams comes to fruition, then Swift would gain target upside over what Philly presented (or what Justin Fields would present). Swift has been a solid-to-good value in early best ball drafting. Expect his ADP to rise now that he has found starter money on the market. Swift's RB31 position in Underdog Fantasy to date gives him plenty of room to move up the board and still be worth targeting. Check our RB rankings to see where he lands.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Bears RB Khalil Herbert (back, personal) is questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Packers. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and then sidelined on Friday. Herbert’s absence would presumably leave Chicago’s backfield to Roschon Johnson and D’Onta Foreman, who has not played the past two weeks.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Roschon Johnson, RB CHI
Dynasty MVP 22.3
Position Rank #150 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
73
113
198
Dynasty Write-up
Johnson doesn’t have much tread off his tires after playing behind Bijan Robinson at Texas. His limited sample showed a tough, hard-nosed rusher with pass protection chops. At 6’0, 220 pounds, Johnson also posted solid testing numbers at the Combine. He simply never took over the backfield as a rookie, and now he'll battle for the No. 2 role after Chicago added D'Andre Swift. Chicago will also break in a new OC.
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