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Gabriel Davis Fantasy Overview

Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis
Player Profile
WR JAC

Height

6'2"

Weight

225 lbs.

Experience

5 yrs.

Bye

12

Birthday

Apr 01, 1999

Age

25.8

College

Central Florida

NFL Draft Pick

2020 - Rd 4, Pk 128

Fantasy Rankings

Weekly
BYE -
Season
WR {{playerPageAppVar.projectionForRestOfSeason && playerPageAppVar.projectionForRestOfSeason.rank[selectedScoringConfig.fantasyPtsKey] ? playerPageAppVar.projectionForRestOfSeason.rank[selectedScoringConfig.fantasyPtsKey].rank : "-"}}
Dynasty
WR161

2025 Projections

Rec

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Rec Yds

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Rec TDs

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Fantasy Pts

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DS 3D Projection

Our Thoughts

Gabriel Davis's Preseason Player Analysis

Bottom Line

The shine has worn off of the Davis hype from preseason of 2022. He went back to being the deep threat for the Bills over the past two seasons.

The Jaguars handing him $24 million guaranteed was a slight surprise given Davis’ overall lack of production, but it means he will get plenty of playing time this season.

Despite this, Davis will be big-play reliant and not a great target bet in Jacksonville. Trevor Lawrence is unlikely to latch onto Davis, making him a late-round shot who you have to start on the right weeks.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Davis’ per-game stat lines for the Bills were a step back from 2022:
    • 4.76 targets (6.20)
    • 2.65 receptions (3.20)
    • 43.9 yards (55.7)
    • 16.6 yards per catch (17.4)
    • 0.41 TDs (0.47)
  • He ranked as the PPR WR41 in total fantasy points and WR52 in points per game.
  • Davis did not miss a game due to injury. He has only missed one game in his four-year career.
  • He had five top-12 finishes. He also had eight WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Davis’ 16.6% target share was 60th among WRs.
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, he ranked:
    • 56th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 59th in yards per route run (1.34)
    • 8th in average target depth (15.6)
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Davis was 44th in average separation yards (2.8), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Davis signed with the Jaguars on a three-year deal worth $39 million with $24 million guaranteed. His $13 million per year ranks 28th among WRs.
  • He will enter his first season with the Jaguars under HC Doug Pederson and OC Press Taylor.
  • Jacksonville lost WR Calvin Ridley in free agency but added first-round rookie Brian Thomas Jr. He, Davis, and Christian Kirk will be the top three WRs. We’ll see who stays on the field in two-WR sets.
  • The Jaguars are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 17th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +5000 on most sportsbooks, second highest in the division.
  • Davis enters his fifth season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Davis’ career and profile will produce at 91-97% of peak value at age-25.

Advanced Stats

Forty Yard Dash

4.54

Forty Yard Dash Rank

54%

Three Cone Drill

7.08

Agility Score

11.67

Agility Score Rank

11%

Burst Score

121.50

Burst Score Rank

51%

Spar Qx

96.40

Spar Qx Rank

27%

Speed Score

103.10

Speed Score Rank

79%

Height Adjusted Speed Score

103.10

Height Adjusted Speed Score Rank

77%

Catch Radius

9.90

Catch Radius Rank

33%

VIEW MORE ADVANCED STATS

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Shark Bites

Gabriel Davis WR JAC

12:10pm EST 11/18/24

Gabriel Davis Has Torn Meniscus

Gabriel Davis Has Torn Meniscus

Jaguars WR Gabriel Davis is believed to have suffered a torn meniscus in Sunday's loss to the Lions, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Davis is expected to undergo surgery, at which point doctors will determine whether the meniscus needs to be trimmed or fully repaired. The former would sideline Davis for multiple weeks; the latter would end his season. Either way, Davis is safe to drop from all redraft rosters. His absence certainly won't hurt WR Brian Thomas or TE Evan Engram's target potential the rest of the way. None of the other Jacksonville pass catchers are worth messing with in fantasy lineups.

Update: HC Doug Pederson confirmed Monday afternoon that Davis will miss the rest of the season. He should have plenty of time to prepare for the start of 2025.

Bills HC Sean McDermott said Friday that WR Gabe Davis (knee) won't play Sunday against the Chiefs. That should mean a continued role increase for WR Khalil Shakir. But WR Trent Sherfield got an even bigger bump the past two games. He has played his two largest snap shares of the season -- 71% at Miami, 63% vs. Steelers -- in the game Davis left and then the playoff opener he missed. Sherfield didn't see a target against Pittsburgh, so he's only in range as a DFS flyer and for deeper fantasy formats. Shakir racked up 6-105 receiving in the regular-season finale but then drew just 3 targets against the Steelers. He presents intriguing upside but is also no lock for opportunities. The Bills will also go without CB Christian Benford and S Taylor Rapp.

Schedule

Week Team SOS Fantasy

1

MIA

-4.4%

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2

@ CLE

10.8%

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3

BUF

4.7%

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4

HOU

4.4%

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5

@ IND

3.4%

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6

CHI

-17.2%

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7

@ NE

-2.7%

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8

@ GB

-10.4%

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9

PHI

-11.6%

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10

@ MIN

16.7%

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11

DET

6.9%

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12

13

@ HOU

4.4%

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14

TEN

-14.8%

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15

@ NYJ

-2.9%

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16

LVR

-6%

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17

@ TEN

-14.8%

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18

IND

3.4%

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