Jake Ferguson Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

The third-year TE scattered 59 catches, 494 yards, and 0 TDs across 14 games. He topped 50 yards three times – each one alongside QB Dak Prescott.

Unfortunately, Prescott suffered a season-ending hamstring injury in Week 9.

In seven games with Dak pre-injury, Ferguson finished:

• TE21
• TE3
• TE7
• TE8
• TE27
• TE24
• TE7

That seven-game sample produced a TE10 finish in PPR points per game; TE6 in expected PPG.

Without Dak? Ferguson tallied only one top-12 finish (TE12) across seven opportunities.

At season’s end, Ferguson ranked 25th in total PPR points and 23rd in points per game.

Usage & Role

A thin WR corps helped Ferguson rank second among Cowboys in targets (86). That amounted to 6.1 per game and a 17% team share.

Surprisingly, he saw only four red zone targets. His 6.3% red zone target share tied for sixth on the Cowboys.

Efficiency Metrics

Out of 36 TEs with 40+ targets, Ferguson was the only one without a TD. This followed a 2023 with 5 TDs (on a modest 7% TD rate).

Overall, his efficiency dropped vs. 2023:

Offensive Context

Prescott’s hamstring injury loomed large.

Had he stayed healthy, a 2023 repeat was certainly possible for Ferguson. Dallas ranked second in situation-neutral pace, fourth in total plays, sixth in pass rate, and ninth in situation-neutral pass rate.

Injury History

Ferguson missed Week 2 with an MCL sprain.

Later, he missed two games with a Week 11 concussion. The 26-year-old admitted to dealing with some troubling symptoms, but he ultimately returned to his pre-injury role.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Ferguson enters a contract year with another starting job. Backup TE Luke Schoonmaker returns in a complementary role.

Last year, Ferguson hit a 70% route rate in ten of 13 healthy games. Expect similar, fantasy-friendly route rates in 2025.

But will target volume follow? That’s a legitimate question with Dallas returning WR CeeDee Lamb and trading for WR George Pickens.

Pickens goes 6’3, 200 pounds and has averaged 6.7 targets per game over the past two seasons. Both Steelers teams were among the run-heaviest units league-wide.

Now, Pickens’ character concerns make him a wildcard. If he’s engaged, though, Ferguson’s volume upside figures to be capped. He’s currently projected for 6.2 targets per game.

Supporting Cast

Dak Prescott’s health is the X factor here. The veteran has missed at least five games in three of the past five seasons.

By all accounts, his rehab from a torn hamstring has gone smoothly. We don’t anticipate any limitations in training camp.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Dallas promoted OC Brian Schottenheimer to HC. He was promoted from OC, so there’s continuity for the returning veterans.

In 2024, Dallas fed a 21% target share to TEs. That number was at 20% in 2023. Both marks ranked mid-pack league-wide.

New OC Klayton Adams’ background includes work as a TE and OL coach. But the 42-year-old will focus on game planning alongside Schottenheimer, who will call plays.