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Michael Pittman Jr. Fantasy Overview

Michael Pittman Jr.

Michael Pittman Jr.
Player Profile
WR IND

Height

6'4"

Weight

223 lbs.

Experience

5 yrs.

Bye

14

Birthday

Oct 05, 1997

Age

27.3

College

USC

NFL Draft Pick

2020 - Rd 2, Pk 34

Fantasy Rankings

Weekly
BYE -
Season
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Dynasty
WR109

2025 Projections

Rec

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Rec Yds

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Rec TDs

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Fantasy Pts

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DS 3D Projection

Our Thoughts

Michael Pittman Jr.'s Preseason Player Analysis

Bottom Line

Pittman is coming off his best season ever as the primary target for Gardner Minshew last season. He was more productive with Minshew than Anthony Richardson, so there are some red flags for Pittman.

The Colts also added an additional weapon in Adonai Mitchell, so Pittman’s target share is unlikely to continue as one of the highest in the NFL.

He clearly is talented and fairly consistent, but he is being overdrafted as a potential low-end WR1. A consistent low-end WR2 season is more realistic.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Pittman’s per-game averages were the best of his four-year career:
    • 7.85 targets
    • 6.81 receptions
    • 72.0 yards
    • 10.6 yards per catch
    • 0.25 TDs
  • His per-game production improved when Gardner Minshew took over for the injured Anthony Richardson
    • 10.00 targets
    • 7.09 receptions
    • 77.73 yards
    • 10.96 yards per catch
    • 0.27 TDs
  • Pittman ranked as the PPR WR14 in total fantasy points (248.2) and WR18 in points per game (15.5).
  • He missed one game last year (Week 15) with a concussion. It is the first game Pittman has missed since his rookie year (2020).
  • He had three top-12 finishes. He also had six WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Pittman’s 30.3% target share was the fourth highest in the NFL.
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, he ranked:
    • 22nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 23rd in yards per route run (2.04)
    • 80th in average target depth (8.1)
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Pittman was 31st in average separation yards (2.9), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Pittman enters his second season with the Colts under HC and play-caller Shane Steichen and OC Jim Bob Cooter.
  • The Colts are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also are 20th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +6000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Pittman enters his fifth season at 26 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Pittman’s career and profile will produce at 96% of his peak value at age-26.
  • The Colts spent a Round 2 pick this spring on WR Adonai Mitchell and will hopefully get a healthier 2024 season from second-year WR Josh Downs. We’re projecting Pittman’s target share to decline this season, although we still project him to finish as a top-15 WR in targets.

Advanced Stats

Forty Yard Dash

4.52

Forty Yard Dash Rank

61%

Three Cone Drill

6.96

Agility Score

11.10

Agility Score Rank

68%

Burst Score

122.60

Burst Score Rank

56%

Spar Qx

112.10

Spar Qx Rank

75%

Speed Score

111.20

Speed Score Rank

94%

Height Adjusted Speed Score

111.20

Height Adjusted Speed Score Rank

93%

Catch Radius

10.25

Catch Radius Rank

89%

VIEW MORE ADVANCED STATS

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Shark Bites

Michael Pittman Jr. WR IND

2:38pm EST 1/6/25

Michael Pittman Played Through Fracture in Back

Michael Pittman Played Through Fracture in Back

Colts WR Michael Pittman Jr. said Monday that he played all season with a small fracture in his back. James Boyd of The Athletic reports that Pittman first felt the issue during training camp and had the fracture revealed by testing in Week 3. It was Week 6 when we got the odd progression from Pittman expecting to lose multiple weeks to a back injury to playing in that week's game. He wound up missing only Week 10 vs. Buffalo.

Colts WR Josh Downs is considered "week to week" with the shoulder injury he suffered in Sunday's loss to the Lions and is a "long shot" to play against the Patriots this weekend, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "But the belief is he did not suffer a major injury," Rapoport adds.

The Colts have ruled WR Michael Pittman Jr. out for Sunday's game against the Bills. He's officially listed with back and finger injuries and has missed practice all week. The back issue seems to be what's keeping him out this week, though. Pittman returned to last week's game after dislocating the finger.

Schedule

Week Team SOS Fantasy

1

@ HOU

4.4%

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2

GB

-10.4%

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3

@ CHI

-17.2%

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4

@ PIT

-6.6%

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5

JAC

13.7%

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6

TEN

-14.8%

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7

@ MIA

-4.4%

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8

HOU

4.4%

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9

MIN

16.7%

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10

@ BUF

4.7%

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11

NYJ

-2.9%

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12

@ DET

6.9%

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13

NE

-2.7%

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14

15

DEN

-4.8%

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16

@ TEN

-14.8%

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17

NYG

-2.8%

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18

@ JAC

13.7%

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