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Nico Collins Fantasy Overview

Nico Collins

Nico Collins
Player Profile
WR HOU

Height

6'4"

Weight

222 lbs.

Experience

4 yrs.

Bye

14

Birthday

Mar 19, 1999

Age

25.9

College

Michigan

NFL Draft Pick

2021 - Rd 3, Pk 89

Fantasy Rankings

Weekly
BYE -
Season
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Dynasty
WR86

2025 Projections

Rec

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Rec Yds

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Rec TDs

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Fantasy Pts

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DS 3D Projection

Our Thoughts

Nico Collins's Preseason Player Analysis

Bottom Line

Collins earned a big contract extension this offseason and likely stays as C.J. Stroud’s top WR even after the team traded for Stefon Diggs.

His ideal fit for OC Bobby Slowik’s offense allowed Collins to routinely get open and put up numerous WR1 games last year.

Though his target share may decrease, the passing game efficiency should keep Collins as a borderline WR1 again this season.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Collins’ per-game averages were all the best of his career:
    • 7.27 targets
    • 5.33 receptions
    • 86.5 yards
    • 16.2 yards per catch
    • 0.53 TDs
  • He ranked as the PPR WR18 in total fantasy points (225.9) and WR18 in points per game (9.7).
  • He missed two games last year (Week 10 & Week 15) due to a calf injury.
  • He had five top-12 finishes. He also had four WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Collins’ target share improved from 19.1% in 2022 (45th best among WRs) to 21.9% (34th best among WRs).
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, Collins ranked
    • 7th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 2nd in yards per route run (3.10)
    • 46th in average target depth (11.5)
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Collins was 27th in average separation yards (3.0), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Collins signed a three-year, $72.75 million contract to stay with the Texans with $52 million guaranteed. His $24.25 million per year ranks eighth among WRs.
  • QB C.J. Stroud enters his second season under HC DeMeco Ryans and OC Bobby Slowik.
  • The Texans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They have the highest win total in the AFC South at 9.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also have the eighth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600 on most sportsbooks, best in the division.
  • Collins enters his eighth season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Collins’ career will produce at peak value at age 25.
  • He’ll face tougher target competition this year with Stefon Diggs joining Tank Dell in the WR corps. But Collins notably beat Diggs and Dell last year in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

Advanced Stats

Forty Yard Dash

4.50

Forty Yard Dash Rank

69%

Three Cone Drill

6.79

Agility Score

11.11

Agility Score Rank

67%

Burst Score

126.30

Burst Score Rank

75%

Spar Qx

108.40

Spar Qx Rank

64%

Speed Score

109.20

Speed Score Rank

90%

Height Adjusted Speed Score

109.20

Height Adjusted Speed Score Rank

89%

Catch Radius

10.33

Catch Radius Rank

94%

VIEW MORE ADVANCED STATS

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Shark Bites

Stefon Diggs WR UNS

1:47pm EDT 10/29/24

Stefon Diggs Done for Year With ACL Tear

Stefon Diggs Done for Year With ACL Tear

Texans WR Stefon Diggs will miss the remainder of the season with a torn right ACL. His season ends with 47 catches, 496 yards, and 3 TDs in less than 8 full games.

The Texans consider WR Nico Collins "day to day" with the hamstring injury that knocked him out of Sunday's game vs. the Bills, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. It sounds like Collins avoided a significant injury, although we'd still consider him iffy for Week 6's meeting with the Patriots. We'll keep you updated on Collins' status throughout this week. WRs Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell will get rankings boosts with Collins misses more time.

Texans WR Nico Collins is questionable to return to Sunday's game vs. the Bills with a leg injury. His last play was a 67-yard TD. Collins made his way back to the locker room under his own power. We'll update his status when we know more.

Update: Collins has a hamstring injury.

Update: Collins has been ruled out.

Texans WRs Robert Woods (hip) and Noah Brown (back) did not practice on Tuesday. Both guys missed the Week 18 win over the Colts and are iffy for Saturday's Wild Card game vs. the Browns. Their absences last week left John Metchie and Xavier Hutchinson as Houston's No. 2 and 3 WRs -- although neither made an impact. WR Nico Collins hogged 35% of the targets and posted a big 9-195-1 line.

Schedule

Week Team SOS Fantasy

1

IND

3.4%

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2

@ CHI

-17.2%

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3

MIN

16.7%

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4

@ JAC

13.7%

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5

@ BUF

4.7%

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6

NE

-2.7%

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7

GB

-10.4%

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8

@ IND

3.4%

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9

NYJ

-2.9%

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10

@ DET

6.9%

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11

DAL

7.7%

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12

@ TEN

-14.8%

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13

JAC

13.7%

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14

15

@ MIA

-4.4%

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16

KC

0.7%

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17

@ BAL

8.3%

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18

TEN

-14.8%

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