Tyreek Hill Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Hill ended 2024 at WR18 in PPR points and WR31 in points per game (12.8). He averaged his fewest PPR points per game since his rookie year, even removing six missed games from Tua Tagovailoa.

In 11 games with Tua, Hill averaged:

• 5.1 catches
• 63.1 yards
• .6 TDs

In six games without Tua, he averaged:

• 4.2 catches
• 44.2 yards
• 0 TDs

Hill recorded only four top-12 fantasy finishes. He ranked outside the top-40 WRs on six occasions.

Usage & Role

Hill averaged 7.1 targets per game last year, well under his figures of 10.0 and 10.6 over the prior two seasons.

His 11.9-yard average depth of target was right in line with his first two seasons in Miami. However, Hill’s deep ball target rate dropped to 15.7% following years of 22.8% and 21%.

Efficiency Metrics

Hill managed just 11.8 yards per catch – his lowest figure as a Dolphin.

He posted career lows in Pro Football Focus receiving grade (77.3), yards per route run (1.75), and yards after catch per reception (3.5).

It wasn’t all bad news, though. Hill’s 40.5% air yards share ranked fifth among WRs. And he remained an effective separator, slotting 8th among WRs in ESPN's Open Score.

Offensive Context

The Dolphins ranked 18th in total yards per game and 22nd in points per game. Miami ranked 11th in pass rate (58.6%), a slight increase from 2023.

QB Tua Tagovailoa missed six games (concussion, hip), forcing starts from Tyler Huntley and Skylar Thompson.

Injury History

Hill played all of last season with a left wrist injury he suffered in August. According to him, surgery was an option in-season. He played through it – and then underwent a pair of offseason surgeries, including one to remove screws from his wrist.

Here’s HC Mike McDaniel at the NFL Combine. "It was a ligament issue; it wasn’t a broken wrist. He’s scheduled to be running very soon, in which he’ll be relying upon that in his training until he can catch the football, which will be more around summertime."

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

A healthy Hill should see his volume increase. Current projections have him for 140 targets – an increase of 18 from 2024.

Miami returns WR Jaylen Waddle, whose production regressed in 2024 (58-744-2). TE Jonnu Smith returns for a contract season after breaking out for a stunning 88-884-8 line on 111 targets. He’s a likely regression candidate.

Miami added former Titans WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine in free agency (2 years, $5.9 million). He should fill the low-volume No. 3 WR role.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Hill enters the season with offensive continuity. HC Mike McDaniel and OC Frank Smith return for their fourth season together.

The Dolphins have ranked 24th (2022), 23rd, and 7th in offensive plays per game under McDaniel. Over that same span, they’ve ranked 13th, 20th, and 8th in pass attempts.

Production & Efficiency Trends

Hill enters his age-31 season. Our historical aging curves suggest a top-tier WR like Hill will perform at 90% of his peak at 31.