Zay Flowers Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Flowers delivered 209.5 PPR fantasy points (WR25) and averaged 12.3 PPR points per game (WR37) across 17 games.

He posted 74 receptions (T-22nd) for 1,059 yards (16th) and four TDs, while also adding 56 rushing yards on nine carries.

Flowers logged three top-12 finishes and six top-24 weeks, making him a solid but not elite weekly option.

Usage & Role

Flowers saw 7.1 targets per game and led the team with a 25.6% target share, up from 23.2% as a rookie.

He was used 61.7% wide and 38.1% in the slot, giving him alignment versatility.

According to Fantasy Points, Flowers served as Baltimore’s primary first-read target on 29.9% of dropbacks (21st among WRs).

Efficiency Metrics

Flowers made notable efficiency gains in year 2:

• 2.26 yards per route (14th among WRs with 50+ targets)
• 84.2 PFF receiving grade (15th)
• 14.3 yards per catch (up from 11.1 in 2023)
• 6.3 yards after catch per reception (11th) and +6.2 yards after catch over expectation
• 3.9 yards of average separation (7th)

The Ravens also targeted Flowers downfield more frequently. His 10.0-yard average target depth was an increase over his 8.4 in 2023.

Offensive Context

The Ravens deployed a run-heavy (47.5% pass rate), slow-paced offense (25th in pace), but their elite line (3rd in both pass and run blocking success) and Lamar Jackson’s skillset still allowed the passing game to flourish.

Historical Production & Trends

Flowers has opened his career with back-to-back seasons of 100+ targets and consistent yards after catch per reception production (6.3 in 2023 and 6.2 in 2024).

His yards per route improved from 1.64 to 2.25, and he now has nine total TDs on a 6.0% rate, nearly matching his 9.1 expected scores through two seasons.

Injury History

Flowers suffered an LCL sprain in his right knee in Week 18, but did not miss the Ravens' playoff game two weeks later.

He has never missed a game due to injury in his NFL or college career.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Flowers returns as the Ravens’ locked-in No. 1 WR and a likely top passing-game option.

The WR depth chart remains thin with deep threat Rashod Bateman lining up opposite Flowers, and new addition DeAndre Hopkins potentially adding a veteran presence.

The Ravens drafted LaJohntay Wester in the sixth round and return former fourth-round picks Tylan Wallace and Devontez Walker

TEs Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely could threaten Flowers’ volume week-to-week, but their roles have become fairly cemented over the last two seasons.

Supporting Cast

Flowers benefits from playing with MVP-caliber QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson had a career year despite a declining pass rate from the offense. As long as there is a healthy Jackson under center, the offense should thrive.

RB Derrick Henry made a significant impact in his first year with the Ravens while Justice Hill handled some receiving work.

The OL remains intact, returning starting OTs Ronnie Stanley and Roger Rosengarten as well as the interior OL Tyler Linderbaum, Andrew Vorhees, and Daniel Faalele.

In 2024, they ranked third in ESPN pass-blocking success rate (70%).

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Leaning more into the run led to a slower pace of play for OC Todd Monken’s offense in 2024. Baltimore finished 25th with 62.1 plays per game, down from 63.3 plays per game in 2023.

The pass rate also declined with the addition of Henry, going from 49.7% in 2023 to 47.5% in 2024.

Their neutral pass rate declined from 53.7% in 2023 to 52.6% in 2024.

Flowers’ efficiency with Jackson at QB allows enough PPR fantasy scoring, even with a middling pass rate.