Geno Smith Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Smith quietly finished 12th in total fantasy points among QBs (with 4-point TD passes) last season. He checked in 14th in points per game.

He racked up a lot of those points early in the season. Smith finished among the top 9 fantasy QBs in four of the first five weeks. He added a QB4 finish in Week 9. After the Week 10 bye, though, his weekly finishes went:

• QB19
• QB20
• QB27
• QB21
• QB30
• QB7
• QB29
• QB5

Offensive Context

The Seahawks ranked ninth in neutral-situation pass rate for the season, but that changed during the year.

Seattle ranked fourth through Week 9, passing at a 58.1% rate in neutral situations. That dipped to 53.1% after the Week 10 bye, ranking 13th in the league.

Efficiency Metrics

Smith remained an accurate passer in what would be his final Seahawks campaign.

He led all qualifying QBs with an 81.8% on-target pass rate. He ranked fifth in completion rate and eighth in Pro Football Focus’ adjusted completion rate.

The lack of TDs was a bit fluky, with a 3.6% TD rate that ranked 29th among 34 qualifiers. Smith ranked 18th in expected passing TDs, 17th in pass attempts inside the 10-yard line, and 11th in throws into the end zone.

Historical Production & Trends

Smith proved accurate over his previous two Seattle starting seasons as well, especially 2022. He led the league in completion rate that season and posted a 5.2% TD rate. That combo propelled a QB7 finish in fantasy points per game.

Smith’s numbers fell off in each of those categories in 2023, when he finished 17th in total fantasy points and just 24th in points per game.

Injury History

Smith lost two games to a groin injury in 2023 but carries no long-term health questions nor any worrisome issues carrying over from last season.

2025 Expectations

Supporting Cast

The Raiders traded a third-round pick for Smith rather than wait to draft a QB, and then gave him a two-year, $75 million contract – with $66.5 million of that guaranteed. He’s the starter for at least this year, and probably 2026 as well.

Smith gets limited help, though. Second-year TE Brock Bowers is obviously a nice piece. But the WR corps is expected to count Jakobi Meyers, Tre Tucker, and rookie Jack Bech as the leaders.

Meyers has been a solid player through six NFL seasons but looks better positioned as a complementary No. 2 than a lead wideout. Tucker’s decent but has averaged just 2.0 catches per game through two NFL seasons after averaging 2.2 per game through his college career.

Bech arrived via Round 2 after an up-and-down college career that found him averaging just less than 3 receptions per game overall. He did finish with a strong final season and impressive pre-draft process.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Pete Carroll takes over as HC with 18 years experience at the post – 14 of those with the Seahawks.

He pulled Chip Kelly from Ohio State to serve as OC. Kelly spent four previous seasons as an NFL HC: three with the Eagles and 2016 with the 49ers. Those four teams combined for a 43.8% rush rate; 56.2% pass.