Jalen Hurts Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

In 14 full games, Hurts averaged 206.5 passing yards and almost 1.3 passing TDs per game. He averaged 42.2 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD per game.

The rushing production fueled seven top-five fantasy finishes and four others inside the top-12.

Overall, Hurts ranked ninth in total fantasy points, rising to fifth in points per game.

Usage & Role

Hurts averaged only 25.5 passes per game. His rushing production was on the other end of the spectrum at 10.5 attempts per game.

Hurts was especially busy near the goal line. He tied for the second-most carries inside the five-yard line with 18, per Pro Football Reference. He carried 28 times inside the 10.

Efficiency Metrics

Including the postseason, Hurts set career highs in:

• Completion rate (68.7%)
• Adjusted completion rate (80.4%)
• Yards per attempt (8.0)
• TD rate (5.0%)

However, his Pro Football Focus passing grade (71.0) marked a clear step down from 2022 (83.8) and 2023 (83.9). Hurts also took a career-high 51 sacks, adding a career-high 22.9% pressure-to-sack rate.

Offensive Context

Hurts picked up a new system under OC Kellen Moore. His unit ranked third in plays per game but 31st or 32nd in:

• Pass rate
• Neutral pass ate
• Pass rate over expected
• Red zone pass rate
• Red zone pass rate over expected

We also saw missed time from A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert.

In four full games with that trio, Hurts notched a strong 9.0 yards per attempt and a 5.6% TD rate.

In his ten other games: 7.7 yards per attempt and a 4.8% TD rate.

Historical Production & Trends

Hurts has now hit double-digit rushing TDs in all four starting seasons.

He's totaled 52 rushing TDs over that stretch, including 33(!) from the one-yard line.

Injury History

Hurts missed two late-season games with a concussion. He returned for the postseason, when he sustained a knee injury that required the use of a brace.

Hurts suffered a dislocated right middle finger in Week 18 of the 2023 season. He returned for the postseason.

2025 Expectations

Supporting Cast

Hurts’ top-five target earners return for 2025: A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Saquon Barkley, and Jahan Dotson. It’s one of the best groups of pass catchers in the NFL.

Philadelphia also returns four of five starting linemen, as G Mekhi Becton signed with the Chargers in free agency. 25-year-old Tyler Steen – formerly a Round 3 pick – is the favorite to fill in.

Overall, this unit continues to project as one of the best league-wide.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

OC Kellen Moore was replaced with Eagles pass-game coordinator (2021-2024) Kevin Patullo. He added associate HC duties from 2023-2024.

Now, Patullo hasn’t called plays at any level. But he’s widely expected to keep Philly’s run-centered attack in place.

One more thing to keep in mind: Dating back to college, Hurts is on his 12th play-caller in ten seasons. It’s a huge challenge for any QB to endure.

Production & Efficiency Trends

Our historical aging curves show that, on average, rushing QBs peak at age 26 and perform at 95% of their peak at 27.

Hurts, who enters his sixth season, turns 27 in August. Age is ultimately no cause for concern here.