Russell Wilson Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Wilson started 11 games for the Steelers. In those, he tallied:

• Three top-12 fantasy finishes
• Seven between QB13-QB24
• One outside the top-25

The former Bronco ultimately finished with 19.6 fantasy points per game -- the second-lowest tally of his career (only ahead of 2022). He still finished a respectable QB15 in points per game.

Wilson got there on the back of 225.6 passing yards and 1.45 passing TDs per game. He added two TDs and 14 yards per game on the ground.

Efficiency Metrics

Among 32 QBs with 300+ dropbacks, Wilson ranked:

• 10th in adjusted completion rate
• 14th in yards per attempt
• 15th in fantasy points per dropback
• 18th in Pro Football Focus passing grade

Wilson tied a career low with 3.6 yards per carry. Only eight of his rushing yards came on designed attempts, per PFF.

Offensive Context

Pittsburgh wanted to run the ball under OC Arthur Smith.

The Steelers ranked 28th in pass rate and 26th in pass rate over expected. They finished 29th in pass attempts.

This pass-catching group simply wasn’t deep behind George Pickens, as Pat Freiermuth, Calvin Austin, as Najee Harris finished second through fourth in targets.

Wilson also sat behind Justin Fields for the first six games. A calf injury cost the veteran practice reps in training camp and early in the season. Solid play from Fields kept Wilson on the bench longer than expected, too.

Wilson stayed off the injury report as a starter, but the multi-week calf issue could explain his lack of rushing usage.

Injury History

Beyond the calf issue, Wilson last missed time with a 2022 concussion.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Wilson signed a one-year, $10.5 million deal with the Giants. They added QB Jameis Winston in free agency and traded up for Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart in Round 1 of the NFL Draft.

Team insider Connor Hughes writes that the team “genuinely” believes Wilson can “play well, elevate those around him and make the Giants a competent club this year.” Hughes also believes that in a “perfect world,” Dart wouldn’t see the field until 2026.

We’ll see on both fronts. If the Giants are out of the playoff mix late in the season, it’s reasonable to expect at least a few starts from the rookie. Entering the summer, though, Wilson is atop the depth chart.

Supporting Cast

The Giants didn’t make any notable additions here.

Instead, they’ll look for Malik Nabers to take a step in Year 2. At only 21, he posted an impressive 109-1,204-7 line on a dysfunctional squad.

Darius Slayton returned on a multi-year deal. The 28-year-old adds a downfield element to this unit and makes for an interesting fit with Wilson, who remains a competent downfield passer.

Wan’Dale Robinson certainly doesn’t offer much downfield. His career average depth of target (5.3) suggests he’ll remain a catch-and-run asset.

Up front, the Giants added depth pieces like OTs James Hudson and Stone Forsythe. Overall, the offensive line projects as average at best.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Wilson will learn his fifth offensive system in five years.

HC Brian Daboll and OC Mike Kafka once instilled optimism.

Daboll’s credited with helping Josh Allen overcome a bumpy NFL start to become an elite passer. Kafka, meanwhile, came from the Andy Reid coaching tree, having spent several seasons as Patrick Mahomes’ QB coach/pass-game coordinator.

Even in New York, we saw some signs of life. The duo helped guide Daniel Jones to a promising 2022 that included a highly efficient 80.1% adjusted completion rate. That mark led 36 qualifying QBs.

The problem is that Jones regressed from there. Even as a team, the Giants have ranked bottom five in dropback EPA and success rate in each of the past two seasons.

A mid-season firing remains in play here. At a minimum, recent history suggests there’s no reason to upgrade Wilson based on his offensive infrastructure.