Marvin Harrison Jr. Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Harrison posted 198.5 PPR points (WR30) and averaged 11.7 PPR points per game (WR45).

He totaled 62 receptions for 885 yards (30th) and eight TDs (T-12th) on 116 targets (20th).

He recorded two top-12 fantasy finishes and six inside the top 24, but struggled for consistency with nine finishes outside the top 36.

Usage & Role

Harrison played 74.1% of his snaps out wide, serving as Arizona’s primary perimeter target.

He commanded a 27.6% first-read target rate (30th) and had a 14.2-yard aDOT (11th), with nearly 25% of his targets coming 20+ yards downfield.

He functioned as Kyler Murray’s go-to deep threat and contested-catch option but was often used in low-percentage situations.

Efficiency Metrics

Harrison Jr. flashed a bit, but his underlying metrics leave a lot to be desired.

• 1.63 yards per routerRun (49th)
• 77.2 PFF Receiving Grade (28th)
• 2.4 yards after catch per reception (77th)
• 0.22 targets per route (56th)
• 1.6% drop rate (78th)

Harrison saw 38 contested targets (3rd most) but caught just 42.1% of them, below his 55.7% expected rate, highlighting a disconnect between his separation and actual ball placement.

Offensive Context

The Cardinals’ passing game opened up after the Week 11 bye, shifting from a -5.1% pass rate over expected to +6.7%. They still ranked just 22nd in overall pass rate.

QB Kyler Murray was efficient but conservative, averaging only 5.0 air yards per completion.

That made Harrison's downfield-heavy role difficult to convert into consistent production.

Historical Production & Trends

Harrison’s 11.56 PPR points per game aligns with several high-profile rookie WRs, many of whom made big second-year jumps (e.g. Calvin Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, DeVonta Smith).

His profile, high aDOT, low drop rate, and heavy contested target volume is consistent with a No. 1 WR archetype.

He underperformed his expected receiving yards by 100 last year, pointing to untapped upside.

Injury History

Harrison suffered a minor concussion in Week 6 but did not miss any games.

He has never missed a game in his entire football career.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Harrison will return as Kyler Murray’s No. 1 WR and primary deep/intermediate target.

WR Michael Wilson is expected to start on the other side with WR Zay Jones also earning some work.

The depth for the Cardinals is lacking with Greg Dortch, Simi Fehoko, and Quez Watkins filling out the group.

The main competition for targets will come from TE Trey McBride, who earned 147 last season.

Supporting Cast

QB Kyler Murray leads the group of returning skill players looking to take the next step. The offense increased in pass rate late in the season as Murray showed progression in that area.

Murray had the lowest rush rate of his career. If that continues into 2025, it should mean more passes to his top weapons.

All five OL starters return in OTs Paris Johnson Jr. and Jonah Williams and interior linemen Evan Brown, Hjalte Froholdt, and Isaiah Adams.

Last year, the OL had a 60% pass block win rate (16th) and 72% run blocking win rate (11th).

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

OC Drew Petzing's system blended horizontal spacing with occasional deep shots and leaned heavily on yards after catch.

The Cardinals ranked 21st in the NFL in total plays and 19th in pace.

Their pass rate was only 22nd in the NFL, but they were 11th in neutral pass rate.