Brian Robinson Jr. Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Robinson amassed 788 yards and eight TDs, adding 20 catches and 159 additional yards.

Across 14 appearances, he finished RB29 in total PPR points (RB28 in points per game). Robinson finished as a top-24 RB in 10 games. Three of those were top-12 finishes.

In eight healthy games with Austin Ekeler, Robinson finished:

• RB11
• RB21
• RB22
• RB19
• RB19
• RB33
• RB14
• RB52

Usage & Role

Robinson saw the bulk of his work on early downs.

He handled 13.3 carries and 1.8 targets per game. He peaked with a pair of 21-carry outings -- both with Ekeler sidelined.

With Ekeler, Robinson averaged:

• 11.3 carries per game on a 37.7% share
• 1.5 targets per game on a 4.9% share

Robinson ranked 17th among RBs in red zone carries (41). That was four carries ahead of QB Jayden Daniels; 21 ahead of Ekeler.

Efficiency Metrics

Robinson set a career high with 4.2 yards per carry and 3.00 yards after contact per attempt.

Those figures were unspectacular compared to his peers, though. Among 25 RBs with 200+ carries, he ranked 16th in YPC and 14th in YAC per attempt.

He also sat:

• 16th in Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating
• 20th in PFF rushing grade

Robinson fumbled twice following seasons of four and two fumbles.

Offensive Context

The backfield benefited from the rapid rise of QB Jayden Daniels. He accounted for a hefty 148 carries and helped propel the unit to top-seven finishes in yards and points.

OC Kliff Kingsbury’s unit also slotted fifth in offensive plays. Washington ranked 13th in run rate and third in team rush attempts.

Injury History

Robinson missed Week 6 with a knee injury and Weeks 9 and 10 with a hamstring strain. He lasted only five carries before departing Week 12 with an ankle sprain.

Robinson missed two games in 2023 with a hamstring injury.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Robinson enters the final year of his rookie contract.

Washington opted against making an impactful backfield addition, waiting until Round 7 to select RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt. He played only one game this past season.

So Robinson projects in another timeshare with Austin Ekeler, who turned 30 in May. He’s missed eight games over the past two seasons (ankle, concussions).

Washington also added WR Deebo Samuel in a March trade. He’s averaged 45 carries per season since 2021, but we don’t expect that level of involvement on the ground. Samuel has also missed multiple games in three consecutive seasons.

Supporting Cast

Robinson’s supporting cast looks stronger with Samuel, Year 2 of Jayden Daniels, and new LT Laremy Tunsil.

The ‘24 Commanders already ranked second in ESPN’s run block win rate. They hit on durable free agent additions from last year like G Nick Allegretti and C Tyler Biadasz.

Both guys return for 2025.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Washington welcomes back OC Kliff Kingsbury and RB coach/run game coordinator Anthony Lynn.

We expect a similar offensive approach here, both in terms of run/pass split and run style. In 2024, Robinson ran zone concepts on 116 runs; gap scheme on 100 (per PFF).

Washington boasts the O-line talent to retain one of the league's most versatile ground games.